Polymarket

NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-18% at 23%, ahead of Republican 6-9% at 20%. $282 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Republican 15-18% 23%
24 hours
up 17 pts
Traded today
$282
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 15-18%23%▲ 17
  2. Republican 6-9%20%▲ 6
  3. Republican 9-12%18%▲ 5
  4. Republican 0-3%18%
  5. Democrat 0-3%17%▼ 3
  6. Republican 12-15%15%▲ 5

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:53 AM9:53 PM9:53 AM23% Republican 15-18%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-18%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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