Polymarket
NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 12-15% at 20%, ahead of Republican 6-9% at 16%. $580 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 12-15% 20%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $580
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 12-15%20%▲ 1
- Republican 6-9%16%
- Republican 9-12%15%
- Republican 0-3%11%▲ 1
- Republican 21%+8%▲ 2
- Democrat 3%+7%▲ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:38 AM10:38 PM10:38 AM20% Republican 12-15%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 12-15%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.