Polymarket

NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 12-15% at 20%, ahead of Republican 6-9% at 16%. $580 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Republican 12-15% 20%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$580
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 12-15%20%▲ 1
  2. Republican 6-9%16%
  3. Republican 9-12%15%
  4. Republican 0-3%11%▲ 1
  5. Republican 21%+8%▲ 2
  6. Democrat 3%+7%▲ 2

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:38 AM10:38 PM10:38 AM20% Republican 12-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 12-15%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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