Polymarket

NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 34%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% at 24%. $349 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 20-25% 34%
24 hours
up 12 pts
Traded today
$349
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 20-25%34%▲ 12
  2. Democrat 10-15%24%▲ 2
  3. Democrat 5-10%21%
  4. Democrat 15-20%17%▼ 6
  5. Democrat 25%+6%
  6. Democrat 0-5%5%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:44 AM3:44 PM3:44 AM34% Democrat 20-25%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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