Polymarket
NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 35-40% at 28%, ahead of Republican 40-45% at 23%. $373 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 35-40% 28%
- 24 hours
- up 10 pts
- Traded today
- $373
- Traded in all
- $16K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 35-40%28%▲ 10
- Republican 40-45%23%▼ 2
- Republican 50-55%15%▼ 1
- Republican 55-60%14%
- Republican 45-50%12%▲ 1
- Republican 25-35%11%▲ 5
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:34 AM11:34 PM11:34 AM28% Republican 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.