Polymarket

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 35-40% at 28%, ahead of Republican 40-45% at 23%. $373 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.

Favorite
Republican 35-40% 28%
24 hours
up 10 pts
Traded today
$373
Traded in all
$16K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 35-40%28%▲ 10
  2. Republican 40-45%23%▼ 2
  3. Republican 50-55%15%▼ 1
  4. Republican 55-60%14%
  5. Republican 45-50%12%▲ 1
  6. Republican 25-35%11%▲ 5

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%11:34 AM11:34 PM11:34 AM28% Republican 35-40%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 35-40%. One reading an hour.

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