Polymarket
New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 21%+ at 59%, ahead of Democrat 18-21% at 16%. $715 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 21%+ 59%
- 24 hours
- up 6 pts
- Traded today
- $715
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 21%+59%▲ 6
- Democrat 18-21%16%
- Democrat 6-9%10%
- Democrat 0-3%10%▲ 8
- Democrat 15-18%9%▲ 2
- Democrat 9-12%7%▲ 3
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:11 AM7:11 PM7:11 AM59% Democrat 21%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 21%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.