Polymarket

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 21%+ at 59%, ahead of Democrat 18-21% at 16%. $715 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 21%+ 59%
24 hours
up 6 pts
Traded today
$715
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 21%+59%▲ 6
  2. Democrat 18-21%16%
  3. Democrat 6-9%10%
  4. Democrat 0-3%10%▲ 8
  5. Democrat 15-18%9%▲ 2
  6. Democrat 9-12%7%▲ 3

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:11 AM7:11 PM7:11 AM59% Democrat 21%+

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 21%+. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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