Polymarket

New York Governor Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-20% at 30%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 30%. $122 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 15-20% 30%
24 hours
up 2 pts
Traded today
$122
Traded in all
$5K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrat 15-20%30%▲ 2
  2. Democrat 20-25%30%▲ 6
  3. Democrat 10-15%18%▼ 1
  4. Democrat 5-10%16%▲ 3
  5. Democrat 25-30%7%▼ 0
  6. Democrat 30-35%6%▼ 0

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:10 AM7:10 PM7:10 AM30% Democrat 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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