Kalshi

Next German federal election winner?

in 2029

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor AfD at 80%, ahead of CDU/CSU at 13%. $18 traded in the last 24 hours, $65K in all.

Favorite
AfD 80%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$18
Traded in all
$65K
Closes
March 25, 2030

Every outcome (top 6 of 7)

  1. AfD80%
  2. CDU/CSU13%
  3. SPD3%
  4. Greens2%
  5. The Left1%
  6. FDP1%

1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:01 PM1:01 AM1:01 PM80% AfD

The line follows the current favorite, AfD. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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