Kalshi
Next government of the United Kingdom?
Before Jan 1, 2030
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Labour majority at 14%, ahead of Reform UK majority at 9%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $3K in all.
- Favorite
- Labour majority 14%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $3K
- Closes
- January 1, 2030
Every outcome (top 6 of 19)
- Labour majority14%
- Reform UK majority9%
- Reform UK minority9%
- Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition7%
- Reform UK minority + Conservative support7%
- Labour minority5%
13 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:07 AM9:07 PM9:07 AM14% Labour majority
The line follows the current favorite, Labour majority. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
