Polymarket

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor John Thune at 43%, ahead of Chuck Schumer at 34%. $106 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
John Thune 43%
24 hours
down 0 pts
Traded today
$106
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
January 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. John Thune43%▼ 0
  2. Chuck Schumer34%▲ 3
  3. Tom Cotton15%▲ 1
  4. John Barrasso11%▼ 5
  5. Brian Schatz6%
  6. Mark Kelly5%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:39 AM6:39 PM6:39 AM43% John Thune

The line follows the current favorite, John Thune. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More trump and the white house markets

Every trump and the white house market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works