Polymarket

NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 34%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 23%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 25-30% 34%
24 hours
up 2 pts
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 25-30%34%▲ 2
  2. Democrat 35-40%23%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 30-35%19%▲ 1
  4. Democrat 20-25%14%▲ 1
  5. Democrat 15-20%9%
  6. Republican Wins4%▲ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:55 AM9:55 PM9:55 AM34% Democrat 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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