Polymarket
NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 30%. $241 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 31%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $241
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 35-40%31%▲ 2
- Democrat 30-35%30%▲ 6
- Democrat 40-45%24%▲ 3
- Democrat 45%+13%▲ 2
- Democrat 20-25%12%▲ 6
- Democrat 25-30%10%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:17 PM12:17 AM12:17 PM31% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.