Polymarket

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 30%. $241 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 35-40% 31%
24 hours
up 2 pts
Traded today
$241
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 35-40%31%▲ 2
  2. Democrat 30-35%30%▲ 6
  3. Democrat 40-45%24%▲ 3
  4. Democrat 45%+13%▲ 2
  5. Democrat 20-25%12%▲ 6
  6. Democrat 25-30%10%▲ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:17 PM12:17 AM12:17 PM31% Democrat 35-40%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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