Polymarket
NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 5-10% at 23%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% at 22%. $344 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 5-10% 23%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $344
- Traded in all
- $5K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 5-10%23%
- Democrat 10-15%22%▼ 1
- Democrat 20-25%18%
- Democrat 15-20%17%▼ 1
- Republican 5%+12%▼ 2
- Democrat 0-5%6%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:20 PM12:20 AM12:20 PM23% Democrat 5-10%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 5-10%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
