Polymarket

NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 3-6% at 26%, ahead of Republican 6-9% at 19%. $159 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Republican 3-6% 26%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$159
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 3-6%26%▼ 1
  2. Republican 6-9%19%
  3. Republican 0-3%17%▼ 2
  4. Republican 9-12%13%▲ 1
  5. Republican 18%+13%▲ 4
  6. Democrat 3-6%10%▼ 2

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:17 PM12:17 AM12:17 PM26% Republican 3-6%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 3-6%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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