Polymarket
NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 3-6% at 26%, ahead of Republican 6-9% at 19%. $159 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 3-6% 26%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $159
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 3-6%26%▼ 1
- Republican 6-9%19%
- Republican 0-3%17%▼ 2
- Republican 9-12%13%▲ 1
- Republican 18%+13%▲ 4
- Democrat 3-6%10%▼ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:17 PM12:17 AM12:17 PM26% Republican 3-6%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 3-6%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.