Polymarket
NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 3-6% at 20%, ahead of Republican 0-3% at 19%. $72 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 3-6% 20%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $72
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 3-6%20%
- Republican 0-3%19%▲ 1
- Democrat 0-3%18%
- Republican 6-9%16%▲ 4
- Democrat 3-6%10%▼ 1
- Republican 12-15%5%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:21 PM12:21 AM12:21 PM20% Republican 3-6%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 3-6%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
