Polymarket
NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 6-9% at 26%, ahead of Republican 3-6% at 21%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 6-9% 26%
- 24 hours
- up 3 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 6-9%26%▲ 3
- Republican 3-6%21%▼ 1
- Republican 18-21%20%▲ 5
- Republican 0-3%20%▼ 1
- Republican 15-18%10%▲ 1
- Republican 12-15%7%▲ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:35 AM5:35 PM5:35 AM26% Republican 6-9%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 6-9%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
