Polymarket
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 27%. $92 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 28%
- 24 hours
- down 3 pts
- Traded today
- $92
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%28%▼ 3
- Democrat 50-55%27%▼ 2
- Democrat 55-60%20%▲ 2
- Democrat 40-45%9%
- Democrat 60-65%7%
- Democrat 65-70%5%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:33 AM5:33 PM5:33 AM28% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
