Polymarket
NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55-60% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% at 18%. $77 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 55-60% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $77
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 55-60%28%
- Democrat 60-65%18%▲ 4
- Democrat 30-40%14%▲ 4
- Democrat 70%+13%▲ 11
- Democrat 65-70%9%
- Democrat 45-50%8%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:32 AM5:32 PM5:32 AM28% Democrat 55-60%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55-60%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
