Polymarket
NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55-60% at 42%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% at 22%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 55-60% 42%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 55-60%42%▼ 0
- Democrat 60-65%22%▼ 1
- Democrat 50-55%21%
- Democrat 45-50%9%
- Democrat 40-45%5%
- Democrat 65%+3%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:41 AM4:41 PM4:41 AM42% Democrat 55-60%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55-60%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
