Polymarket
NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 75-80% at 30%, ahead of Democrat 65-70% at 25%. $40 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 75-80% 30%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $40
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 75-80%30%▲ 1
- Democrat 65-70%25%▲ 2
- Democrat 70-75%25%▲ 1
- Democrat 60-65%11%▼ 1
- Democrat 80-85%7%
- Democrat 85%+6%▲ 3
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:11 PM2:11 AM2:11 PM30% Democrat 75-80%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 75-80%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
