Polymarket
NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 31%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 19%. $134 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 15-20% 31%
- 24 hours
- down 3 pts
- Traded today
- $134
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Republican 15-20%31%▼ 3
- Republican 10-15%19%
- Republican 30%+11%▲ 5
- Republican 5-10%10%▼ 1
- Republican 20-25%8%
- Republican 25-30%4%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:51 AM2:51 PM2:51 AM31% Republican 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.