Polymarket

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 31%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 19%. $134 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Republican 15-20% 31%
24 hours
down 3 pts
Traded today
$134
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Republican 15-20%31%▼ 3
  2. Republican 10-15%19%
  3. Republican 30%+11%▲ 5
  4. Republican 5-10%10%▼ 1
  5. Republican 20-25%8%
  6. Republican 25-30%4%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:51 AM2:51 PM2:51 AM31% Republican 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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