Polymarket
NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 70-75% at 30%, ahead of Democrat 65-70% at 22%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 70-75% 30%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 70-75%30%
- Democrat 65-70%22%▼ 1
- Democrat 60-65%20%▲ 2
- Democrat 75-80%14%▼ 1
- Democrat 55-60%8%
- Democrat 85%+5%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:35 AM5:35 PM5:35 AM30% Democrat 70-75%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 70-75%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
