Polymarket

NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 21%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 45-50% 31%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 45-50%31%
  2. Democrat 50-55%21%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 40-45%14%▼ 0
  4. Democrat 55-60%14%
  5. Democrat 0-25%7%▼ 2
  6. Democrat 35-40%6%▲ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:51 AM2:51 PM2:51 AM31% Democrat 45-50%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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