Polymarket
NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 65-70% at 30%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% at 29%. $140 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 65-70% 30%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $140
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 65-70%30%▲ 2
- Democrat 60-65%29%▲ 3
- Democrat 55-60%14%▼ 7
- Democrat 70-75%12%
- Democrat 75%+11%▲ 5
- Democrat 50-55%7%▼ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:19 PM12:19 AM12:19 PM30% Democrat 65-70%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 65-70%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
