Polymarket
NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 50-55% at 36%, ahead of Democrat 55-60% at 18%. $190 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 50-55% 36%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $190
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 50-55%36%
- Democrat 55-60%18%▲ 2
- Democrat 45-50%17%
- Democrat 40-45%12%▲ 1
- Democrat 60%+9%▲ 1
- Democrat 30-35%1%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:47 AM3:47 PM3:47 AM36% Democrat 50-55%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 50-55%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
