Polymarket
NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 24%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 19%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 20-25% 24%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $20
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 20-25%24%▼ 0
- Democrat 25-30%19%▼ 4
- Democrat 15-20%18%▼ 0
- Democrat 30-35%14%
- Democrat 10-15%9%
- Republican Wins5%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%1:15 PM1:15 AM1:15 PM24% Democrat 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.