Polymarket

NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 24%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 19%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 20-25% 24%
24 hours
down 0 pts
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$15K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrat 20-25%24%▼ 0
  2. Democrat 25-30%19%▼ 4
  3. Democrat 15-20%18%▼ 0
  4. Democrat 30-35%14%
  5. Democrat 10-15%9%
  6. Republican Wins5%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:15 PM1:15 AM1:15 PM24% Democrat 20-25%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.

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