Polymarket
NY-19 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 9-12% at 20%, ahead of Democrat 21%+ at 18%. $129 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 9-12% 20%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $129
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 9-12%20%
- Democrat 21%+18%▼ 7
- Democrat 12-15%17%▲ 1
- Democrat 15-18%13%
- Democrat 18-21%12%▲ 5
- Democrat 6-9%4%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:20 PM12:20 AM12:20 PM20% Democrat 9-12%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 9-12%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
