Polymarket
NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 30%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 28%. $282 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 30%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $282
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 35-40%30%
- Democrat 30-35%28%▲ 9
- Democrat 25-30%14%▼ 5
- Democrat 20-25%10%
- Democrat 40%+8%▼ 4
- Republican Wins4%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:55 AM9:55 PM9:55 AM30% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
