Polymarket
NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 6-9% at 22%, ahead of Republican 3-6% at 18%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours, $4K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 6-9% 22%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $60
- Traded in all
- $4K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 6-9%22%▲ 1
- Republican 3-6%18%
- Democrat 3%+13%
- Republican 0-3%12%
- Republican 9-12%9%
- Republican 12-15%8%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:52 AM2:52 PM2:52 AM22% Republican 6-9%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 6-9%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
