Polymarket
NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-20% at 25%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 23%. $65 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 15-20% 25%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $65
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 15-20%25%▼ 0
- Democrat 25-30%23%▲ 2
- Democrat 20-25%20%
- Democrat 30%+17%
- Democrat 10-15%14%
- Democrat 5-10%4%▲ 1
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:47 AM3:47 PM3:47 AM25% Democrat 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.