Polymarket

NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-20% at 25%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 23%. $65 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 15-20% 25%
24 hours
down 0 pts
Traded today
$65
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 15-20%25%▼ 0
  2. Democrat 25-30%23%▲ 2
  3. Democrat 20-25%20%
  4. Democrat 30%+17%
  5. Democrat 10-15%14%
  6. Democrat 5-10%4%▲ 1

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:47 AM3:47 PM3:47 AM25% Democrat 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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