Polymarket

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 30%, ahead of Republican 20-25% at 24%. $140 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Republican 10-15% 30%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$140
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Republican 10-15%30%
  2. Republican 20-25%24%▲ 1
  3. Republican 15-20%18%▼ 2
  4. Republican 25-30%16%
  5. Republican 5-10%7%
  6. Republican 0-5%7%▲ 2

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:47 AM3:47 PM3:47 AM30% Republican 10-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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