Polymarket
NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 30%, ahead of Republican 15-20% at 27%. $280 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 10-15% 30%
- 24 hours
- up 11 pts
- Traded today
- $280
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 10-15%30%▲ 11
- Republican 15-20%27%
- Republican 20-25%14%
- Republican 30-35%12%▲ 5
- Republican 25-30%12%
- Republican 35%+10%▼ 3
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:44 AM4:44 PM4:44 AM30% Republican 10-15%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.