Polymarket

NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 30%, ahead of Republican 15-20% at 27%. $280 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Republican 10-15% 30%
24 hours
up 11 pts
Traded today
$280
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Republican 10-15%30%▲ 11
  2. Republican 15-20%27%
  3. Republican 20-25%14%
  4. Republican 30-35%12%▲ 5
  5. Republican 25-30%12%
  6. Republican 35%+10%▼ 3

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:44 AM4:44 PM4:44 AM30% Republican 10-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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