Polymarket

NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 25%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 24%. $84 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 30-35% 25%
24 hours
up 5 pts
Traded today
$84
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 30-35%25%▲ 5
  2. Democrat 35-40%24%▼ 1
  3. Democrat 25-30%23%
  4. Democrat 20-25%7%
  5. Democrat 40-45%7%▼ 1
  6. Democrat 15-20%3%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:37 AM5:37 PM5:37 AM25% Democrat 30-35%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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