Polymarket
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 35-40% at 37%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% at 24%. $127 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 35-40% 37%
- 24 hours
- up 18 pts
- Traded today
- $127
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 35-40%37%▲ 18
- Democrat 40-45%24%▼ 1
- Democrat 25-30%12%
- Democrat 45-50%11%▲ 1
- Democrat 30-35%11%▼ 2
- Republican Wins9%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:11 PM2:11 AM2:11 PM37% Democrat 35-40%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 35-40%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
