Polymarket

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 25-30% at 30%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 27%. $496 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.

Favorite
Republican 25-30% 30%
24 hours
up 2 pts
Traded today
$496
Traded in all
$14K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 25-30%30%▲ 2
  2. Republican 35-40%27%▲ 1
  3. Republican 30-35%19%▼ 1
  4. Republican 40-45%15%▲ 4
  5. Republican 15-25%10%▲ 3
  6. Republican 50-55%4%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:41 AM10:41 PM10:41 AM30% Republican 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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