Polymarket
OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 40-45% at 32%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 26%. $131 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 40-45% 32%
- 24 hours
- up 5 pts
- Traded today
- $131
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 40-45%32%▲ 5
- Republican 35-40%26%▲ 9
- Republican 45-50%18%▼ 15
- Republican 30-35%14%▼ 1
- Republican 50-55%9%▼ 3
- Republican 20-30%4%▼ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:38 AM4:38 PM4:38 AM32% Republican 40-45%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 40-45%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.