Polymarket

OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 40-45% at 32%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 26%. $131 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.

Favorite
Republican 40-45% 32%
24 hours
up 5 pts
Traded today
$131
Traded in all
$7K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 40-45%32%▲ 5
  2. Republican 35-40%26%▲ 9
  3. Republican 45-50%18%▼ 15
  4. Republican 30-35%14%▼ 1
  5. Republican 50-55%9%▼ 3
  6. Republican 20-30%4%▼ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:38 AM4:38 PM4:38 AM32% Republican 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 40-45%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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