Polymarket
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 25%. $144 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 31%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $144
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%31%
- Democrat 50-55%25%
- Democrat 40-45%22%▲ 2
- Democrat 0-20%10%▲ 1
- Democrat 55-60%8%
- Democrat 35-40%6%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:15 PM12:15 AM12:15 PM31% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
