Polymarket
OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 50-55% at 33%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% at 23%. $556 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 50-55% 33%
- 24 hours
- down 4 pts
- Traded today
- $556
- Traded in all
- $16K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 50-55%33%▼ 4
- Democrat 45-50%23%▼ 8
- Democrat 55-60%23%▼ 1
- Democrat 40-45%9%
- Democrat 65%+7%
- Democrat 60-65%7%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:37 AM4:37 PM4:37 AM33% Democrat 50-55%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 50-55%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
