Polymarket
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 15-20% at 24%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 20%. $132 traded in the last 24 hours, $18K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 15-20% 24%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $132
- Traded in all
- $18K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 15-20%24%▼ 0
- Democrat 25-30%20%▲ 1
- Democrat 20-25%16%▼ 6
- Democrat 30-35%15%▲ 2
- Democrat 5-10%10%▲ 5
- Democrat 10-15%8%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:37 AM10:37 PM10:37 AM24% Democrat 15-20%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 15-20%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
