Polymarket
OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 31%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% at 22%. $35 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 20-25% 31%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $35
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 20-25%31%
- Democrat 15-20%22%▼ 1
- Democrat 25-30%14%▼ 1
- Democrat 10-15%10%▲ 1
- Democrat 30%+8%
- Democrat 5-10%6%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:45 AM3:45 PM3:45 AM31% Democrat 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 60%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 97%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 88%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 59%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 55%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 71%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
