Polymarket
PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 25%, ahead of Democrat 55-60% at 24%. $561 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45-50% 25%
- 24 hours
- up 4 pts
- Traded today
- $561
- Traded in all
- $8K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45-50%25%▲ 4
- Democrat 55-60%24%▲ 2
- Democrat 50-55%22%▲ 1
- Democrat 60%+20%
- Democrat 40-45%8%▼ 5
- Democrat 35-40%7%▲ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:19 PM12:19 AM12:19 PM25% Democrat 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
