Polymarket
PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 30-35% at 29%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% at 24%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $18K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 30-35% 29%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $20
- Traded in all
- $18K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 30-35%29%
- Democrat 25-30%24%
- Democrat 20-25%17%▼ 1
- Democrat 35-40%10%
- Democrat 15-20%10%▲ 1
- Democrat 10-15%4%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:55 AM9:55 PM9:55 AM29% Democrat 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
