Polymarket
PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 30-35% at 31%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 26%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 30-35% 31%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $60
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 30-35%31%
- Republican 35-40%26%▲ 3
- Republican 25-30%22%▼ 1
- Republican 40-45%12%
- Republican 10-20%7%▼ 0
- Republican 0-10%7%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:19 AM6:19 PM6:19 AM31% Republican 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
