Polymarket
PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 5-10% at 26%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 24%. $24 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 5-10% 26%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $24
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 5-10%26%▲ 1
- Republican 10-15%24%▼ 0
- Republican 15-20%21%▲ 1
- Republican 20-25%13%▼ 2
- Democrat Wins7%▲ 2
- Republican 35%+7%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:20 PM12:20 AM12:20 PM26% Republican 5-10%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 5-10%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
