Kalshi
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
Before 2029
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor $40 trillion at more than 99%, ahead of $42.5 trillion at 97%. $27 traded in the last 24 hours, $117K in all.
- Favorite
- $40 trillion >99%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $27
- Traded in all
- $117K
- Closes
- March 31, 2029
Every outcome
- $40 trillion>99%
- $42.5 trillion97%
- $45 trillion87%▼ 1
- $47.5 trillion61%
- $50 trillion21%▲ 2
- $52.5 trillion19%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:07 AM6:07 PM6:07 AM100% $40 trillion
The line follows the current favorite, $40 trillion. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
