Polymarket

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Below 190 at 30%, ahead of 190-194 at 15%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $317K in all.

Favorite
Below 190 30%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$3K
Traded in all
$317K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Below 19030%▲ 1
  2. 190-19415%▼ 0
  3. 195-19915%▲ 1
  4. 205-20913%
  5. 200-20410%▼ 2
  6. 210-21410%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:47 PM2:47 AM2:47 PM30% Below 190

The line follows the current favorite, Below 190. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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