Kalshi
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?
On Oct 6, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 38.5% at 25%, ahead of Above 38.6% at 24%. $19K traded in the last 24 hours, $19K in all.
- Favorite
- 38.5% 25%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $19K
- Traded in all
- $19K
- Closes
- October 6, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- 38.5%25%
- Above 38.6%24%
- 38.3%14%
- 38.4%14%
- 38.6%11%
- 38.2%9%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:28 PM12:28 AM12:28 PM25% 38.5%
The line follows the current favorite, 38.5%. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 79%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.5% 93%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 74%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) 7 52%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
