Polymarket
RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 27%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 24%. $40 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 40-45% 27%
- 24 hours
- down 3 pts
- Traded today
- $40
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 40-45%27%▼ 3
- Democrat 35-40%24%▼ 0
- Democrat 30-35%20%▲ 2
- Democrat 25-30%12%▼ 1
- Democrat 45-50%10%
- Democrat 50%+5%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:09 AM8:09 PM8:09 AM27% Democrat 40-45%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
