Polymarket
RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 27%. $31 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 25-30% 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $31
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 25-30%28%
- Democrat 20-25%27%
- Democrat 15-20%15%
- Democrat 30-35%11%▼ 0
- Democrat 35%+9%
- Democrat 10-15%5%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:33 AM5:33 PM5:33 AM28% Democrat 25-30%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
