Kalshi

São Paulo Governor winner?

in 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Tarcísio de Freitas at more than 99%, ahead of Paulo Serra at 3%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $33K in all.

Favorite
Tarcísio de Freitas >99%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$33K
Closes
October 4, 2027

Every outcome

  1. Tarcísio de Freitas>99%
  2. Paulo Serra3%
  3. Kim Kataguiri1%
  4. Márcio França1%
  5. Fernando Haddad1%
  6. Erika Hilton1%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:56 AM5:56 PM5:56 AM100% Tarcísio de Freitas

The line follows the current favorite, Tarcísio de Freitas. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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