Polymarket

SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 30-35% at 32%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 27%. $202 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.

Favorite
Republican 30-35% 32%
24 hours
up 8 pts
Traded today
$202
Traded in all
$14K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 30-35%32%▲ 8
  2. Republican 35-40%27%▲ 1
  3. Republican 40-45%18%▼ 5
  4. Republican 25-30%13%▼ 4
  5. Republican 45-50%9%▼ 5
  6. Republican 50%+6%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:51 AM7:51 PM7:51 AM32% Republican 30-35%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 30-35%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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