Polymarket
SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 30-35% at 32%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 27%. $202 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 30-35% 32%
- 24 hours
- up 8 pts
- Traded today
- $202
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 30-35%32%▲ 8
- Republican 35-40%27%▲ 1
- Republican 40-45%18%▼ 5
- Republican 25-30%13%▼ 4
- Republican 45-50%9%▼ 5
- Republican 50%+6%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:51 AM7:51 PM7:51 AM32% Republican 30-35%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 30-35%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.